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Is Kamala leading the Dark Lord in most polls?

snitzoid

Updated: Aug 28, 2024

A pretty detailed, ergo granular look but I'll give you the highlights:

  • Real Clear Politics aggregate polling data shows (as of yesterday) Harris with an average lead of 1.5% (out of 25+ national polls conducted by various folks).

  • Rasmussen to the contrary has Trump up by 1%. I've found them to be among the best in previous elections.

  • As you may recall in 2020, the aggregate polling had Biden up by 5% in the week before election day. The race was a bit closer with Biden having a 4% margin in the popular vote.

  • I suspect the race is too close to call statistically at the moment. Trump's certainly doing all the right things to blow it.



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