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So do the Dems now have a chance to hold both houses in Nov?

Generally, speaking Republicans still hold a pretty strong lead riding voter dissatisfaction with inflation, crime, blah blah blah. On the other hand, the Republican's almost iron lock on the Senate looks like it might be eroded. The Bible-thumping idiots could pay dearly for poking the Roe v Wade bear.


Notice how Predict-It's score for Republicans winning the Senate dropped like a rock since Roe v Wade was repealed (June 24th). The party still appears to have a lock on winning the House.


Senate

House



Generic Congressional Ballot

Rasmussen Polling

GOP Lead Unchanged in Congressional Ballot:

Friday, August 26, 2022


The 2022 midterm elections are now 74 days away, and Republicans still have a five-point lead in their bid to recapture control of Congress.


The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, if the elections for Congress were held today, 47% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican candidate, while 42% would vote for the Democrat. Just four percent (4%) would vote for some other candidate, but another eight percent (8%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)


The GOP lead is unchanged from last week, when they led 46%-41%. Republicans have led the Generic Congressional Ballot all year, although their lead has narrowed since mid-July.


Rasmussen Reports is updating the Generic Congressional Ballot findings weekly on Fridays at 10:30 a.m. Eastern until the midterm elections in November.


In August 2018, before voters handed Democrats their first House majority in eight years, Democrats held a five-point advantage (46% to 41%) in the generic ballot question. As the November 2018 midterms neared, the margin was a statistical dead heat – Republicans 46%, Democrats 45% – in the final poll before Democrats won a slim House majority while Republicans gained Senate seats to maintain control of that chamber.


The survey of 2,500 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on August 21-25, 2022 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.


The Republican lead is mainly due to a 10-point advantage among independent voters. Eighty-six percent (86%) of Republican voters say they would vote for their own party’s congressional candidate, while 80% of Democrats would vote for the Democratic candidate. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 42% would vote Republican and 32% would vote Democrat, while nine percent (9%) would vote for some other candidate and 17% are undecided.


Fifty-one percent (51%) of whites, 27% of black voters and 46% of other minorities would vote Republican if the election were held today. Sixty-two percent (62%) of black voters, 38% of whites and 42% of other minorities would vote Democrat.


The so-called “gender gap” has widened in the latest findings, with men (52%) now 10 points more likely than women voters (42%) to prefer Republican congressional candidates. The gap was eight points last week.


Voters under 40 favor Democrats by an 11-point margin, 48% to 37%, but voters ages 40-64 favor Republicans 52% to 38%, and the GOP lead is eight points – 50% to 42% – among voters 65 and older.


Retirees support Republicans over Democrats by a 15-point margin, 54% to 39%, and the GOP has a six-point lead (46%-40%) among private sector workers, while government employees favor Democrats by 10 points, 49%-39%.


Republicans lead by 11 points, 50%-39%, among voters with incomes between $30,000 and $50,000 a year, while Democrats have a seven-point advantage, 49% to 42%, among voters with annual incomes above $200,000.


A majority of American voters believe the federal Department of Justice’s investigation of former President Donald Trump is politically motivated, but most of them still approve of the investigation.


Most voters still believe “fake news” is a serious problem, and don’t trust the political news they get from the media.


Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.


BTW how Joe's popularity has nose-dived and matches up against previous presidents (Predict it)





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