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Trump 2024? 60% of Voters Say ‘No’

Why does a strong majority want him gone, even though many more think well of Donald? Because people realize he can't win.


To the Trump faithful, I say, you may love the guy, but he won't get elected. You enjoying the current status quo? Want some more?


No, perhaps you find someone you like better than Joe (or his eventual replacement) who can get to the finish line?


Trump 2024? 60% of Voters Say ‘No’

Rasmussen Poling

Wednesday, November 16, 2022


Former President Donald Trump announced Tuesday he will seek the White House again in 2024, but most voters don’t think he should and have a more favorable view of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.


The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that just 32% of Likely U.S. voters believe Trump should run for president in 2024, while 60% say he should not. (To see survey question wording, click here.)


Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters still have a favorable impression of Trump, including 27% who have a Very Favorable view of the 45th president. Fifty-two percent (52%) view Trump unfavorably, including 41% whose opinion is Very Unfavorable.


By comparison, 54% have a favorable impression – including 37% with a Very Favorable opinion – of Desantis, the Republican who was reelected by a landslide last week as Florida’s governor. Thirty-seven percent (37%) of voters view DeSantis unfavorably, including 24% with a Very Unfavorable impression of him.


(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it’s in the news, it’s in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.


The survey of 2,000 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on November 10 and 13-15, 2022 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.


Thirty-seven percent (37%) of voters believe DeSantis should run for president in 2024, while 38% think he should not and another 26% are not sure.


Regardless of what they think about the 2024 campaign, an overwhelming majority of voters say the GOP is still Trump’s party. Seventy-two percent (72%) agree – including 39% who Strongly Agree – with the statement, “The Republican Party is still the party of Donald Trump and the Make America Great Again movement.” Just 23% disagree with that statement.


Among Republicans, 49% say Trump should run again in 2024, but 39% believe Trump shouldn’t run and 12% are not sure. Fifty-three percent (53%) of GOP voters think DeSantis should run for president in 2024, while 25% say he shouldn’t and 22% are undecided about a DeSantis 2024 campaign.


A majority of Democrats don’t think either Trump or DeSantis should run for president in 2024, with 80% against a Trump 2024 campaign and 52% saying no to DeSantis seeking the White House.


DeSantis appears to have a clear advantage over Trump with independents. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 55% have a favorable impression of DeSantis, compared to 45% who view Trump favorably. Just 30% of unaffiliated voters think Trump should run again in 2024 while 58% say he shouldn’t run and 12% are not sure. Thirty-four percent (34%) of unaffiliated voters believe DeSantis should run for president in 2024, 36% think he shouldn’t and 30% are undecided.


More Republicans (44%) than Democrats (38%) or unaffiliated voters (35%) Strongly Agree that the GOP is still the party of Trump and MAGA.


Twenty-nine percent (29%) of whites, 12% of black voters and 31% of other minorities have a Very Favorable impression of Trump. Forty percent (40%) of whites, 24% of black voters and 34% of other minorities have a Very Favorable impression of DeSantis.


There is a significantly wider “gender gap” for DeSantis than for Trump. Sixty percent (60%) of men, but only 48% of women voters, have at least a somewhat favorable view of DeSantis. Forty-nine percent (49%) of men and 45% of women have at least a somewhat favorable impression of Trump. More men (44%) than women voters (30%) favor a DeSantis 2024 campaign, while majorities of both men (57%) and women voters (62%) are opposed to Trump running again in 2024.


Voters 65 and older are most likely to have a Very Favorable impression of DeSantis and a Very Unfavorable impression of Trump.


Voters with annual incomes below $50,000 have a more favorable view of Trump than upper-income voters. College graduates have the most negative impression of Trump.


Although many pundits have suggested that the race for the 2024 GOP nomination will be a conflict between Trump and DeSantis, most supporters of one also view the other favorably. Among those who think DeSantis should run in 2024, for example, 67% have a favorable impression of Trump. And among voters who think Trump should run again in 2024, 74% view DeSantis favorably.


Most voters believe cheating may have influenced this year’s elections, and think voting by mail makes it easier to cheat.


More than five years after he left office, former President Barack Obama’s endorsement is still more valuable than either of his successors.

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