Is Iran launching far fewer missiles and drones each day?

I used Claude AI to pull down the data. Short answer yes.

Does that mean tankers can safely pass thru the Strait of Hormuz? Probably not yet. If the US can provide insurance for the ship operators, that may get the traffic going again.

Why is it declining?

U.S. and Israeli strikes destroyed or disabled 300+ Iranian mobile missile launchers by March 3 (IDF report). CENTCOM reported missile launches down 86% by March 4 and 90% by March 5, with drones down 83%.

JINSA analysts cite stockpile depletion, launcher attrition from the prior June 2025 Twelve-Day War, risk suppression of Iranian operators, and possible rationing for a longer conflict. Iran is expected to shift further toward drones and proxy forces as ballistic missile capacity diminishes.