Is the murder rate dropping in 2025? Biased new reporting?

Below is Ground News analysis of this news story that's been covered by 47 news outlets. Interesting that right leaning sources run with this more than left. The implication is that the White House is in some way responsible for this. While Voldemort may claim that securing the border, ICE's actions and the national guard are moving the needle, there's little evidence that his administration deserves the lion's share of the credit.

While Chicago's murder rate his similarly fallen, it's still sky high, @ 4 times that of NYC. In the 1990s Chicago's rate was only 1/2 of NYC!

US Murder Rate Plunges 20% in 2025

U.S. murder rate fell 19.8% through October 2025, driven by historic drops in major cities and following two years of record declines, according to crime analyst Jeff Asher.

• This year Jeff Asher's Real-Time Crime Index shows murders fell about 19.8 through October, with 5,912 cases recorded versus 7,369 in 2024.

• Across a sample of jurisdictions, RTCI's data from 570 law‑enforcement agencies covering about 115 million people shows a 19.8% decline in murders through October, on pace for a record drop.

• Among the largest 30 cities, Birmingham, Alabama, recorded a 49 percent drop in murders, while New Orleans, San Francisco, Detroit, Baltimore, Oakland, and Philadelphia hit multi‑decade lows, with San Francisco likely the lowest since 1942.

• Federal officials say the White House credits enforcement measures and National Guard deployments, while FBI Director Kash Patel wrote `U.S. murders on pace for largest one-year drop on record- not an accident.` Analysts estimate about 12,000 fewer murders across 2024 and 2025 compared to 2020–2021.

• The FBI says it will release official totals sometime next year, and Gun Violence Archive reports 14,302 gun-related deaths as of Wednesday, with RTCI estimates tracking closely.